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Despite throwing money at the problem, people still aren’t buying heat pumps

The UK’s commitment to reaching net zero by 2050 is legally binding, yet progress towards decarbonisation of home heating remains limited. This SMF commentary reviews a timely recent report from the International Public Policy Observatory (IPPO) at UCL, on how to induce households to change their behaviour and replace their boilers with heat pumps.

KEY POINTS

  • The International Public Policy Observatory (IPPO) report, Decarbonising Home Energy Through Behaviour Change, reviews the international evidence on green purchase decisions and argues for a more comprehensive effort to encourage households to switch to heat pumps.
  • The report is underpinned by the COM-B theory of behaviour, which says behaviour change relies on three components:
    • Capability: the feeling that change is possible.
    • Opportunity: social and physical opportunities to change behaviour.
    • Motivation: the desire or need to change behaviour.
  • The report therefore calls for multiple policies to be implemented to address all three components, including:
    • Establishing and promoting consistent incentive structures for green purchases.
    • Setting up Home Upgrade Agencies to coordinate consistent messaging and offer bespoke advice and pathways to households.
    • Running a competition promoting innovative ways to minimise the disruption when installing heat pumps.
    • Capitalising on the additional time available before the phase-out of fossil fuels in home heating in the UK by further prioritising insulation and an attendant programme of activity across society.
  • Considering social contexts is important when making international comparisons – transferring policy interventions across countries may be ineffective as motivations for installing heat pumps differ.
  • Incentive structures need to be tailored to different household contexts to ensure those on middle incomes are not left out of funding opportunities.
  • The government should use the delay to the gas boiler ban to 2035 to promote insulation, which could build consumers’ trust in the installation industry.
  • Given cost constraints, low- and no-cost interventions that focus on building awareness of and confidence in heat pumps are most likely to get a hearing.

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